New index of warming due to human influence on climate released

Posted on 15th November 2017

A new index of warming due to human influence on climate was released this week in the journal Nature Scientific Reports. It exceeded 1°C above mid-19th-century levels in 2017 and is rising faster than ever before, leaving little time to achieve the goals of the Paris Climate Agreement. “Global temperatures may be pushed up temporarily […]

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Assigning historical responsibility for extreme events

Posted on 6th November 2017

Historical responsibility of individual countries and regions can now be quantified for specific extreme events A new paper by Dr Friederike Otto, Professor Myles Allen et al[1] describes how scientific advances make it possible to assign extreme events to human-induced climate change and historical emissions from individual countries. These developments could allow losses and damage […]

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Does rapid attribution stand test of time?

Posted on 3rd November 2017

Study revisits assessment of storm “Desmond” with more data to determine whether rapid attribution stands the test of time. A recent revisit of an attribution assessment of an extreme weather event carried out in late 2015 has found results similar to the ‘real-time’ analysis just after the event. During the days immediately after an extreme weather […]

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Dr Fredi Otto to take part in ‘Climate Science and the Law’ seminar

Posted on 3rd November 2017

Hosted by environmental law firm ClientEarth and the Oxford Martin School. Drawing on a recent paper in Nature Geoscience, the event on 7 December at SCI London brings together leading scientists in probabilistic event attribution, lawyers and academics to discuss the intersection of event attribution science and the law. Dr Otto and other experts, hosted by environmental […]

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Discovering Climate Modelling at Curiosity Carnival

Posted on 4th October 2017

Climateprediction.net team engage interest of hundreds of visitors in citizen science project during University-wide event at the Ashmolean museum Last Friday saw 10,000 people engaging with university researchers at the Curiosity Carnival, Oxford’s contribution to European Researchers Night, which was celebrated by hundreds of cities across the continent. The evening included a programme of activities […]

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